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Prediction for CME (2015-03-15T02:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-03-15T02:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8011/-1
CME Note: This CME is connected to the long duration C9.1 flare with start at 01:15 and peak at 02:13, flare is centered in AR 2297, large part of the filament W of AR is also erupting, bright post-flare arcade later in AR 2297
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-03-17T04:05Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 7.67
Dst min. in nT: -223
Dst min. time: 2015-03-17T23:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-03-16T18:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

:Issued: 2015 Mar 15 1205 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
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# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
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A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was reported by CACTus and first seen in LASCO/C2 images at 02:00UT on 15-Mar-2015. This CME was related to a C9.1 flare from NOAA 2297 peaking at 02:13UT. The related CME had a plane of the sky speed of 712 km/s, and a width of 160 degrees. The bulk of the CME is directed away from Earth to the West, but a glancing blow can not be ruled out based on current imagery. The CME is estimated to arrive at Earth on 16 March at 18:00UT (+/- 12 hours).
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Lead Time: 40.00 hour(s)
Difference: 10.08 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-03-15T12:05Z

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